Yikes: New N.H. Poll Numbers

A new poll out of New Hampshire by SurveyUSA shows Hillary and Romney with pretty solid leads. Romney, who has been mired in third and fourth place for most of the race, has bolted up to 32 percent. This is probably due to a heavy ad schedule and frequent - but short - trips into the Granite State. Giuliani and McCain are virtually tied at 23 and 22, and Fred Thompson, of TV's "Law & Order," who hasn't even announced he is running, at 11. Gingrich has 4, with other candidates drawing 5 collectively and Undecideds coming in at 3.

Over on the Dem side, Hillary has 40, with Obama and Edwards virtually tied at 24 and 22. Other candidates received 10 percent with Undecideds making up 4 percent.
There are some interesting - and not so surprising - details inside SurveyUSA's numbers.
To start, liberal and moderate Republicans are driving Giuliani's numbers, with moderates and conservatives drive Romney's numbers. Twenty six percent of Giuliani supporters and 22 percent of McCain supporters voted for Kerry in 2004. Thirty eight percent of pro-life voters are going with Romney even though the guy was pro choice just a couple of years ago. Thirty seven percent of Romney voters believe global warming is "made-up" while 34 percent are against stem cell research, even though Romney supports it. Forty one percent of labor union supporters are backing Romney, while 36 percent of gun control advocates also support him. Romney's support is across all age groups. Giuliani fared best with younger demos while McCain fare better with 35-49s and 65-pluses.
With the Dems, there are also some interesting assumptions in the poll. Not surprisingly, Clinton held down the most women voters, 46 percent, but also leads with men, at 32. Clinton does best across the political spectrum, drawing 48 percent of conservative Dems and 40 percent of liberal ones. Obama does best with liberal and moderate Dems while Edwards is best with moderates and conservatives. She also draws the bulk of votes of pro-life Dems, 39, and those who think global warming is "made-up," 51. Twenty nine percent of Hillary voters cast votes for Bush in 2004, as did 29 percent of Obama and Edwards voters. Thirty eight percent of Dems who believe in the 2nd Amendment are supporting her even though she is a notorious gun-grabber. Clinton also leads all age brackets, with Obama drawing highest amongst the 18-34 crowd, and Edwards drawing well from the 35-64 crowd.